Medium range forecasts using cut-cells: a sensitivity study

Investigation on the Climatic Parameters Fluctuation Using Data from the The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Case study: Shirkouh Region - Yazd Province)

Any changes in the climate system affect on the access and management of natural resources such as water and soil. Temperature and precipitation are the key elements of climate for studying their trend can be important for atmospheric scientists, environmental managers and planners in the field of hydrology, agriculture, environment and so on. In this study, the trend of climate fluctuations wa...

Forecasts covering one month using a cut - cell model

Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data.

The spatiotemporal response of species to past global change must be understood for adaptive management and to make useful predictions. Characteristics of past population dynamics are imprinted in genes, yet these molecular 'log books' are just beginning to be used to improve forecasts of biotic responses to climate change. This is despite there now being robust quantitative frameworks to incor...

Postprocessing of Medium Range Hydrological Ensemble Forecasts Making Use of Reforecasts

A hydrological ensemble prediction system is running operationally at the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (RMI) for ten catchments in the Meuse basin. It makes use of the conceptual semi-distributed hydrological model SCHEME and the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble prediction system (ENS). An ensemble of 51 discharge forecasts is generated daily. We ...

Climate change and variability using European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA-40) temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau

[1] Surface air temperature measurements from meteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau are compared to 2-m temperatures from the European Centre for MediumRange Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (ERA-40) to assess the accuracy of this reanalysis product. We focus on ERA-40 grid cells containing at least four stations. The reanalysis temperatures are consistently lower, by as much as 7 ...